if you see packets in the transmit stage, that means they are leaving the firewall on the egress interface
the tricky part in your case is that the packets go in and out of the firewall 3 times, but i only see 2 transmits (look for source port 52087) and then a retransmit, so according to your initial diagram, that would mean the ASA could be blocking your connection
the first transmit is from distri to core, the second entry is from core to asa, the third one should be asa to dmz
if you now compare the transmit to the receive, you can see if the receive also only has 2 entries, which means the packet from asa was not received, or if it has 3 entries, which means the 3rd leg of the PA firewall received and dropped the packet
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